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Rugby

Argentina vs Wales Nations Championship Tips - 11 July

Argentina host Wales in San Juan for Nations Championship Round 2. Kickoff time, injury news and our best bets.

Sipho Nkosi
Published 8 Jul 2026 · Last updated 8 Jul 2026
Key Takeaways
  • Argentina host Wales at the Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario on Saturday 11 July, kickoff 21:10 SAST, in Nations Championship Round 2.
  • Argentina lost 47-38 to Scotland in Cordoba in round one, while Wales beat Fiji 39-24 at Cardiff City Stadium for back-to-back wins.
  • Wales are missing prop Keiron Assiratti and lock Dafydd Jenkins to injury, strengthening the case for an Argentina win and cover.

Argentina host Wales at the Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario on Saturday evening, and Los Pumas go into it as clear favourites despite a round one loss of their own. Wales have shown genuine signs of improvement under Steve Tandy, but a trip to Argentina in round two is a tough ask for a squad still finding its identity. We are backing Argentina to win and cover the handicap.

The Pick Card

Prices from Hollywoodbets, Betway and Easybet could not be verified directly from the SA bookmaker sites at the time of writing, so the numbers below are market-representative prices and flagged as indicative. 18+. T&Cs apply.

SelectionBookmakerOddsStakeOperator CTA
Argentina to winHollywoodbets@1.32 (indicative)2 UnitsBet here
Argentina -9.5 handicapBetway@1.91 (indicative)2 UnitsBet here
Over 49.5 total pointsEasybet@1.90 (indicative)2 UnitsBet here

The Form Line

Argentina actually lost their round one opener 47-38 to Scotland in Cordoba in a high-scoring shootout, so this is not the routine start Los Pumas will have wanted. Still, an attacking output of 38 points against a well-fancied Scotland side shows the firepower is there, and a home reset in San Juan gives them a fresh platform.

Wales beat Fiji 39-24 at Cardiff City Stadium, a result that gave them back-to-back Test wins for the first time since the 2023 World Cup, according to AFP. It is a genuine confidence boost, but doing it again away from home against a stronger side is a different challenge entirely.

Head to Head

FixtureResult
Cardiff, November 2025Argentina won 11 tries to a record margin, in front of 50,185 fans

Argentina's most recent meeting with Wales was a record-breaking win in Cardiff last November, per the BBC, and Los Pumas will fancy their chances of a similar outcome now that the fixture is reversed to their home patch in San Juan.

Team News

Argentina have been boosted by the return of a trio of players for the Wales test, though Mateo Soler and Luciano Asevedo have been dropped from the matchday squad, according to Reuters. Wales go into round two without prop Keiron Assiratti, who has a calf injury ruling him out of the entire summer programme against Fiji, Argentina and South Africa, per Nation.Cymru. Wales have also lost lock Dafydd Jenkins to a shoulder injury requiring surgery, as confirmed by the BBC.

Verdict

Argentina's round one defeat was more shootout than collapse, and a home fixture in San Juan against a Wales side missing two frontline forwards suits Los Pumas. We like Argentina to win and cover the handicap, with the total points also trending toward the over given both sides' attacking output so far.

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