Spain vs Belgium World Cup 2026 QF Tips - 10 July
Spain, unbeaten and yet to concede, face Belgium's new generation at SoFi Stadium on 10 July. Our Friday QF picks.
- Spain face Belgium at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood on Friday 10 July, kickoff 21:00 SAST.
- Spain have not conceded a goal all tournament, while Belgium arrive full of confidence after a 4-1 win over co-hosts USA in the Round of 16.
- We're backing Spain to win in 90 minutes, Spain to qualify for cover, and both teams to score given Belgium's improved attacking form.
Spain have not conceded a goal all tournament and that record is the whole story of this quarter-final. Belgium ended the co-hosts' World Cup dream with a 4-1 mauling of the USA and arrive with real attacking form, but we still make the European and UEFA Nations League champions clear favourites here. Our lean is Spain to win in 90 minutes with the goals coming from open play rather than a shootout on penalties.
The Pick Card
Prices from Hollywoodbets, Betway and Easybet. 18+. T&Cs apply.
| Selection | Bookmaker | Odds | Stake | Operator CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain to win (90 mins) | Hollywoodbets | @1.62 (indicative) | 2 Units | Bet here |
| Spain to qualify (reg/ET/pens) | Betway | @1.31 (indicative) | 2 Units | Bet here |
| Both teams to score | Easybet | @1.90 (indicative) | 2 Units | Bet here |
The Form Line
Spain go into this as reigning European and UEFA Nations League champions and have not conceded a single goal across the tournament so far, beating Portugal 1-0 in the Round of 16 through a 90th-minute Mikel Merino winner (USA Today). Luis de la Fuente's side have had the tournament's best defensive record while waiting for Lamine Yamal, who arrived carrying a hamstring injury, to hit top form, with Mikel Oyarzabal the one stepping up in attack (ESPN).
Belgium's post-De Bruyne generation put in their best display of the tournament in the Round of 16, thrashing co-hosts USA 4-1 with two goals from Charles De Ketelaere, one from Hans Vanaken and a Romelu Lukaku finish off the bench (Vanguard). It's the form line that makes this tie more competitive than the seedings suggest.
Team News
Spain go into the quarter-final as the tournament's only side yet to concede, a defensive record confirmed across their group and knockout matches (ESPN). We could not verify a confirmed starting lineup or fresh injury list for either side beyond the Yamal fitness management already reported, so we're not speculating further on personnel.
Verdict
This is a 90-minute pick on Spain, with the qualify line as insurance in case Belgium's improved attack drags this into extra time or penalties. Both teams to score makes sense given Belgium's scoring form against the USA, even against the meanest defence left in the competition.
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